AL Central: The aftermath of the Call Heard 'Round the World
Baseball Betting Lines
06/04/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Major League Baseball's latest, and perhaps most
compelling, argument for more instant replay came during the ninth inning of
Detroit's 3-0 win over the Cleveland Indians Wednesday night.
Tigers' right-hander Armando Galarraga was one out away from a perfect game
when Indians' shortstop Jason Donald dribbled a ground ball to the right side
of the infield. First baseman Miguel Cabrera went to his right, fielded the
grounder and flipped it to Galarraga, who clearly tagged the bag a step ahead
of the runner.
Cabrera, Galarraga, and 17,000-plus fans at Comerica Park began to celebrate
-- until Joyce shook the baseball world by signaling Donald safe, thus ending
Galarraga's bid for perfection.
While Joyce's blown call will go down in baseball history, Galarraga's gem,
unfortunately, will not. Still, to truly appreciate what transpired on that
epic night in Detroit, you have to look at the path Galarraga traveled leading
up to Wednesday's performance.
That journey began in 2008, when he led the team in wins as a rookie. But the
next season he struggled mightily, and by the fall he was out of the rotation
altogether. Entering Spring Training this season, the team's fifth starter
spot was a battle between Galarraga, Dontrelle Willis and Nate Robertson.
However, Galarraga's struggles continued and he was the first candidate sent
to Triple-A Toledo, where he spent the first five weeks of the season until
being recalled on May 16. Meanwhile Willis, who eventually won the job, was
dealt to Arizona this past Tuesday. That move opened the door for Galarraga to
rejoin the rotation for another chance to prove himself.
Mind you, Galarraga had never even pitched nine full innings in any of his
previous 56 starts. But armed with a more crisp slider and pinpoint control of
his fastball, he went right to work on the Indians' lineup.
When all is said and done, one could argue that Galarraga will be better
remembered for the events of Wednesday night, more so than had he became the
21st big league pitcher to record a perfect game. After all, we're talking
about what is already widely regarded as one of the most controversial blown
calls in the history of the game. Then again, don't try to sell that to
Galarraga.
All throughout Detroit, and most of the country for that matter, he will be
remembered as the only pitcher to toss a 28-out perfect game.
Unfortunately for the 28-year-old Venezuelan, that asterisk-laden honor will
have to be his consolation prize. Well that, and a new cherry red Corvette,
which was presented to him prior to Thursday's game from the folks at
Chevrolet for his performance and sportsmanship in handling the gaffe. As a
show of class and compassion, Galarraga presented the lineup card for
Thursday's matinee to an emotional Joyce, who was working the game as
scheduled as the home-plate umpire. The previous night, after watching the
replays in the umpires room, Joyce offered a personal apology to Galarraga,
which the Tigers' right-hander graciously accepted.
Now the buck is passed to commissioner Bud Selig, who joined the masses in
acknowledging the game should have ended differently. Selig released a
statement on Thursday that read, "Given last night's call and other recent
events, I will examine our umpiring system, the expanded use of instant replay
and all other related features."
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Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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