Stately Victor works toward Belmont Stakes
Horseracing Betting Lines
05/25/2010 -
Elmont, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Probable Belmont Stakes starter Stately Victor
put in a five-furlong workout Tuesday in preparation for the 1 1/2-mile final
leg of racing's Triple Crown.
Owned by Thomas and Jack Conway, Stately Victor and exercise rider Derrick
Smith went the five-furlongs in 59 4/5 seconds at Churchill Downs' Trackside
Louisville training center.
The winner of the Blue Grass Stakes, trained by Mike Maker, galloped out six
furlongs in 1:14 1/5. The three-year-old colt was eighth in the Kentucky Derby
behind Super Saver.
"He got whacked around, but other than that he came out of it well," Maker
said about the Derby. "He hasn't missed a bite of grain and hasn't lost a
pound.
"Hopefully we'll draw an outside post (in the Belmont), just slap him on
cruise control and grind it out. I thought he ran a credible race in the Derby
and I think you throw him out at your own risk. Compared to some of the other
horses, if he fires his Blue Grass race back, he's going to be competitive. I
think if he runs his Derby race back, he's going to be competitive."
Alan Garcia will again have the mount on Stately Victor in the Belmont Stakes
as he did in both the Run for the Roses and Blue Grass Stakes.
"Hopefully the two 'Dudes' (Preakness runner-up First Dude and Lone Star Derby
winner Game On Dude) will duke it out and we're not too far behind," Maker
said.
The colt has career earnings of $493,213 with two wins in nine lifetime
starts. He won the Blue Grass as a 40-1 longshot and was sent off in the Derby
at 20-1.
Along with First Dude and Game On Dude, Stately Victor is expected to take on
seven other three-year-olds. The expected favorite on June 5 is Kentucky Derby
runner-up and Florida Derby champ Ice Box. Others slated to run are
Drosselmeyer, Stay Put, Uptowncharlybrown, Make Music for Me, Fly Down and
Spangled Star.
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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined
Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.
"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."
Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)
According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.
As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).
Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.
Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at
17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.
*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007
New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers
By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.
"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."
While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."
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